Evolent Health Valuation

EVH Stock  USD 2.85  0.04  1.38%   
Based on Macroaxis valuation methodology, the firm appears to be undervalued. Evolent Health shows a prevailing Real Value of $4.32 per share. The current price of the firm is $2.85. Our model computes the value of Evolent Health from reviewing the firm fundamentals such as Current Valuation of 1.33 B, shares outstanding of 111.6 M, and Profit Margin of (0.06) % as well as analyzing its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Evolent Health's valuation include:
Price Book
0.4094
Enterprise Value
1.3 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
84.9437
Price Sales
0.1728
Forward PE
11.4416
Undervalued
Today
2.85
Please note that Evolent Health's price fluctuation is relatively risky at this time. Calculation of the real value of Evolent Health is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Evolent Health's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since Evolent Health is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Evolent Stock. However, Evolent Health's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  2.85 Real  4.32 Target  8.64 Hype  2.88 Naive  2.56
The intrinsic value of Evolent Health's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow or dividend analysis. That value may differ from its market price, which is determined by factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, headlines, and other external factors that may influence Evolent Health's stock price.
4.32
Real Value
8.25
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Evolent Health helps investors to forecast how Evolent stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Evolent Health more accurately as focusing exclusively on Evolent Health's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
0.040.080.12
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.142.886.81
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.052.566.49
Details
14 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
7.868.649.59
Details
When choosing an evaluation method for Evolent Health, ensure it is appropriate for the firm given its current financial situation and market classification. If more than one evaluation category is relevant, we suggest using all methods to arrive at a better estimate.

Evolent Health Cash

171.03 Million

Evolent Health Total Value Analysis

Evolent Health is currently anticipated to have company total value of 1.33 B with market capitalization of 354.87 M, debt of 713.67 M, and cash on hands of 104.2 M. Please note that company total value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting gimmicks. We encourage investors to carefully check all of the Evolent Health fundamentals before making security assessment based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
1.33 B
354.87 M
713.67 M
104.2 M

Evolent Health Investor Information

About 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.41. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Evolent Health recorded a loss per share of 1.56. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Evolent Health may be sliding down financialy. It has an above-average odds of going through some form of financial crisis next quarter.

Evolent Health Asset Utilization

The concept of asset utilization usually refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. The recent return on assets of Evolent signifies not a very effective usage of assets in February.
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Evolent Health Profitability Analysis

Considering the key profitability indicators obtained from Evolent Health's historical financial statements, Evolent Health may not be well positioned to generate adequate gross income at this time. It has a very high odds of underperforming in March. Profitability indicators assess Evolent Health's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Loss  
First Reported
2013-03-31
Previous Quarter
-19.9 M
Current Value
-20.9 M
Quarterly Volatility
68.3 M
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
As of now, Evolent Health's Gross Profit is increasing as compared to previous years. The Evolent Health's current Gross Profit Margin is estimated to increase to 0.17, while Pretax Profit Margin is projected to decrease to (0.03).
For Evolent Health profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Evolent Health to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Evolent Health utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Evolent Health's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Evolent Health over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Evolent Health Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

The next projected EPS of Evolent Health is estimated to be 0.07545 with future projections ranging from a low of 0.045 to a high of 0.1202. Evolent Health's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at -1.56. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Evolent Health is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Evolent Health is projected to generate 0.07545 in earnings per share on the 31st of December 2026. Evolent Health earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Evolent Health EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Evolent Health's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Evolent Health, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Evolent Health Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of Evolent Health's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Evolent Health is estimated to be 0.07545 with the future projection ranging from a low of 0.045 to a high of 0.1202. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Evolent Health is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
0.0
0.04
Lowest
Expected EPS
0.07545
0.12
Highest

Evolent Health Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Evolent Health's value are higher than the current market price of the Evolent Health stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Evolent Health is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Evolent Health's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of December 2026Current EPS (TTM)
1634.22%
0.0
0.07545
-1.56

Evolent Health Ownership Allocation

The majority of Evolent Health outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These outside corporations are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to obtain positions in Evolent Health to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Evolent Health. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Evolent Health as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company.

Evolent Health Profitability Analysis

The company reported the last year's revenue of 2.55 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (61.62 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 378.34 M.

About Evolent Health Valuation

An absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to Evolent Stock, attempts to find the value of Evolent Health based on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Evolent Health's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, such as dividends, operating cash flow, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Evolent Health's intrinsic value. In some cases, mostly for established, large-cap companies, we also incorporate more traditional valuation methods such as dividend discount, discounted cash flow, or asset-based models. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Evolent Health. We calculate exposure to Evolent Health's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Evolent Health's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit422.5 M443.6 M
Pretax Profit Margin(0.03)(0.03)
Operating Profit Margin(0.01)(0.01)
Net Loss(0.03)(0.03)
Gross Profit Margin 0.13  0.17 

Evolent Health Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding114.7 M
Forward Price Earnings11.4416

Evolent Health Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of Evolent Health and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value Evolent we look at many different elements of the entity such as Evolent's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Evolent Health, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Evolent Health's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Evolent Health's worth.

Complementary Tools for Evolent Stock analysis

When running Evolent Health's price analysis, check to measure Evolent Health's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Evolent Health is operating at the current time. Most of Evolent Health's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Evolent Health's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Evolent Health's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Evolent Health to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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